It’s been a very busy time here at duncanScore.
As you might remember, duncanScores are calculated from mastersrankings.com performances from 2013-2016. I am in the process of adding results from 2017-2019 and recalculating the averages and standard deviations which will yield updated/revised duncanScores.
I am pleased (though not surprised) that with the addition of 2017-2019, so far duncanScores change only marginally. So I am confident the process is solid, and over the next 1-2 months I will be posting updated calculators.
And there are a few other improvements I am hoping to implement. The first is a kind of dashboard for results. Here is how it may look. As an example I am going to use my 400m performance the summer after I turned 65 to illustrate it.
That year my best 400m performance at 65 was 68.53 seconds. Using the new (yet to be posted) updated factors, this gives me an M65 duncanScore of 800, meaning that at 65 I was as fast or faster than 80% of M65s in the 400m. Not wonderfully exceptional, or good enough to make the final at a WC, but a good shot for the semi-final. See here why
By the way, the score of 800 is very close to the “original” duncanScore calculator (with only 2013-2016 performances) which yielded a 793 score. So adding 3 more years of results for the calculations made no material difference. The dashboard for the 5 year Age Group (M65) results would look like this.
But as the announcer on the television infomercial inevitably says, “Wait … there’s more!”
Recently turning 65 would give me a bit of a “youth” advantage over most of the other M65s (aged 66 to 69). How good was I versus all the other 65 year old 400m men runners? For that we would need a duncanScore for individual age-years.
And here it is! …
So there you have it! While I may have been as fast as 80% of the M65s, I was only as fast as 75% of the 65-year olds. And with this new metric, as I age, year by year, I can truly see how well I am keeping pace with my age specific comrades.
“But wait!” says the infomercial announcer … “we have more!” My 68 second 400m was approximately the average time for a 57 year old competitive Masters man. I could say, then, that my “running age”, or what I’m calling my Athletic Age, was 57. I might say I was running 8 years younger than my actual age (see the yellow circle in the chart).
That is another metric worth tracking over time.
So that’s what I’m working on.
The next phase is incorporating mastersrankings results from 2017-2019 and updating the factors for upgraded duncanScores for all 5 year age groups in all events. After some more final checks, I will release new 400m factors for the calculator next week.
After that, the big job will be providing factors for individual age years … so you can get your duncanScore for your event by your age year. Then the Dashboard.